Friday, November 11

Podcasts -- another dotcom crash?

One of the recurring themes in Clayton Christensen's Innovator's Solution is the notion of understanding what encumbent firms will and will not do when a new product or business model appears on their radar screens. Christensen asserts that there are predictable forces that influence managers' responses (especially middle managers) to threats/opportunities. It's a good bet, in other words -- if you understand the theory of disruptive innovation.

So what will happen to the many popular podcasts and podcast portals, like Odeo.com and PodcastAlley?

Will the bet be on existing broadcasters, like the BBC, who view podcasts as just another distribution channel; or the new podcasters, who may view a podcast as a business in itself?

And the podcast portals? Will the money be on iTunes, Yahoo, or the new arrivals, such as Odeo.com and PodcastAlley?








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